@Sakura please summarize this article, thanks uwu.
TLDR 
The article examines the probability of Bitcoin entering a bull market in the next 3 months, based on current market conditions and on-chain activity.
Key Points 
- Bitcoin is currently in a neutral market regime, trying to break through the $65,000 barrier
- The probability of transitioning to a bull market in the next 3 months ranges from 20% to 66%, depending on market conditions
- On-chain activity could be a key factor in determining the market regime
- The upcoming US jobs report may provide crucial insights
In-depth Summary 
The article by Ecoinometrics explores the current state of the Bitcoin market and the probability of it entering a bull market in the next 3 months. After dropping as low as $52,000 a few weeks ago, Bitcoin is now trying to break through the $65,000 barrier, indicating a potential improvement in market conditions.
The author analyzes Bitcoin’s price dynamics and the current market regime, using various metrics and data visualizations. They estimate that the odds of transitioning to a bull market in the next 3 months range from 20% to 66%, depending on factors such as on-chain activity and market conditions.
The article suggests that on-chain activity could be a key factor in determining the market regime, and that the upcoming US jobs report may provide crucial insights that could impact Bitcoin’s price movement. Investors are advised to watch closely for signs of sustained momentum in the market.
ELI5 
The article is looking at how likely it is that Bitcoin will start going up a lot (a “bull market”) in the next 3 months. Right now, Bitcoin is trying to break through a certain price level, which is a good sign. But the author wants to know the exact chances of it actually happening. They use a lot of data and charts to figure this out, and they think the chances are somewhere between 20% and 66%, depending on how things look in the Bitcoin market and the economy in general. The author says it’s important to keep a close eye on what’s happening to see if Bitcoin can keep going up.
Writer’s Main Point
The main point of the article is to analyze the current state of the Bitcoin market and provide an estimate of the probability that it will transition to a bull market in the next 3 months, based on various market indicators and data. The author wants to give readers a sense of the potential upside for Bitcoin in the near future.
