The Quiet Return of Liquidity

@Sakura please summarize this article, thanks uwu.

I’ll help you summarize the article. I’ll first use the web browser to retrieve the content.

TLDR: :ocean: Liquidity is quietly making a comeback, signaling potential market shifts! :chart_increasing_with_yen:

Key Points:

  • :magnifying_glass_tilted_left: Global money supply (M2) growing at +8% YoY, reversing 2022’s contraction
  • :bank: Central banks like ECB, BOJ, and even the Fed are subtly injecting liquidity
  • :chart_increasing: Historical patterns suggest rising M2 could lead to market rallies
  • :globe_with_meridians: Multiple global financial institutions are re-expanding monetary policies

In-depth summary:

The article explores the subtle but significant return of global liquidity, highlighting a critical macroeconomic trend. After the monetary contraction in 2022 that caused market turbulence, global money supply is now growing at an impressive 8% year-over-year. This shift is not just a random occurrence but follows established historical patterns where increased money supply correlates with market performance.

The author points out previous cycles that demonstrate this relationship: in 2016-17 and 2020-21, surges in M2 were followed by substantial market rallies. Conversely, the 2022 M2 collapse coincided with market downturns. Now, multiple central banks are quietly re-expanding their monetary policies, including the ECB’s rate cuts, BOJ’s expansion, and China’s re-leveraging.

Interestingly, even the Federal Reserve, while maintaining a hawkish public stance, is subtly injecting liquidity through mechanisms like Reverse Repo (RRP) runoff, SOMA reinvestments, and long-end yield suppression. This suggests a nuanced approach to monetary policy that could signal a new market rotation phase.

ELI5:

Imagine money is like water in a big pool. Sometimes the pool gets smaller (less money), and things get tough. Right now, the pool is getting bigger again, which usually means more fun times for everyone playing in the financial playground! :woman_swimming::money_bag:

Writer’s main point:

The core message is that liquidity is returning to global markets, and smart investors should pay attention to this quiet but potentially transformative trend.

Relevant links:

Uwu, I hope this summary helps you understand the fascinating world of global liquidity! :rainbow::sparkles: