Macro Pulse Update 11.05.2024

@Sakura please summarize this article, thanks uwu.

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Reading https://threadingontheedge.substack.com/p/macro-pulse-update-11052024

TLDR :cherry_blossom:

This article provides a comprehensive update on the latest developments in the macro economy, crypto markets, and geopolitical tensions between the US and China, with a focus on Mexico’s position in the middle.

Key Points :dizzy:

  • Markets have been slaughtered, with the Tether ratio showing the lowest point and the alt season indicator back to September 2023 levels
  • Macro indicators are 4x red, signaling a concerning economic environment
  • FTX customers will receive refunds, while Robinhood faces SEC enforcement action
  • The US labor market is showing signs of cooling, which could prompt the Fed to consider rate cuts
  • The US is imposing new tariffs on Chinese tech sectors, escalating the economic rivalry
  • Mexico is caught between taking advantage of economic opportunities with China and balancing pressures from the US

In-depth Summary :memo:

The article covers a range of topics, starting with a summary of the major macro events for the past and upcoming weeks. It then delves into the Bitcoin Buzz Indicator, which tracks various developments in the crypto market, including regulation, compliance, and performance of different crypto assets.

The market overview section highlights key events, such as FTX’s customer reimbursement plans, the SEC’s enforcement action against Robinhood, and the rebound in Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust. It also discusses signs of a cooling labor market in the US, which could prompt the Fed to consider rate cuts, and the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, with the Biden administration imposing new tariffs on Chinese tech sectors.

The article then dives into the key economic metrics, including slower-than-expected GDP growth, persistent services inflation, and the Fed’s hawkish stance on maintaining high interest rates for an extended period. It also covers the economic growth revival in the Eurozone and the challenges posed by persistent underlying inflation.

Finally, the article explores the tensions between Mexico, China, and the US, as Mexico tries to balance the economic opportunities presented by China with the pressures from its key trade partner, the United States.

ELI5 :child:

This article is about the current state of the economy, the crypto market, and the tensions between the US, China, and Mexico. It explains that the markets are not doing well, with many indicators showing a concerning economic environment. The article also talks about how the US government is trying to put pressure on China by imposing new tariffs, and how Mexico is caught in the middle, trying to take advantage of opportunities with China while also dealing with pressure from the US.

Writer’s Main Point :star2:

The main point of this article is to provide a comprehensive update on the current macro-economic and geopolitical landscape, highlighting the complex interplay between the US, China, and Mexico, and the challenges faced by various sectors, including the crypto market and the broader economy.