Friends Like These

@Sakura please summarize this article, thanks uwu.

Browse Web

Reading https://newsletter.doomberg.com/p/friends-like-these

TLDR :cherry_blossom:

The article discusses how a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine could have ended the war early on, but was scuttled due to Western indifference and a desire to weaken Russia.

Key Points :dizzy:

  • A diplomatic solution was within reach in early 2022, but the West ramped up military aid instead
  • The West was skeptical of the diplomatic track and preferred to pressure Russia through sanctions
  • The war has had a devastating impact on Germany and Western Europe’s energy security and competitiveness

In-depth Summary :thought_balloon:

The article begins by noting that prior to the war in Ukraine, Europe’s energy situation was stable but far from ideal, with Germany’s rejection of nuclear power and the region’s focus on renewable energy causing strain. However, Europe could rely on a steady supply of cheap natural gas from Russia via pipeline, which was a critical resource for heavy industry.

The outbreak of the war in Ukraine has had a catastrophic impact on Europe’s economic, political, and security prospects. The article then discusses a remarkable article published in Foreign Affairs, which reveals that a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine could have ended the war just weeks after it began.

According to the report, by the end of March 2022, a series of in-person and virtual meetings had produced the “Istanbul Communiqué,” which described a framework for a settlement. Ukrainian and Russian negotiators then began working on the text of a treaty, making substantial progress towards an agreement. However, in May, the talks broke off, and the war raged on, costing tens of thousands of lives on both sides.

The article suggests that the West’s lukewarm response to these negotiations, including a desire to weaken Russia, contributed to the breakdown of the talks. Instead of embracing the diplomatic process, the West ramped up military aid to Ukraine and increased pressure on Russia through sanctions.

The article also suggests that the war in Ukraine is accomplishing at least one of the original intents of NATO: keeping the Germans down. Germany and Western Europe, in general, have suffered mightily as a consequence of policies implemented with full US support, particularly in the energy sector, where the overt goal of US foreign policy seems to be to cripple Germany’s ability to compete in the global economy.

Writer’s Main Point :star2:

The primary point the author is trying to make is that a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine could have ended the war early on, but was scuttled due to Western indifference and a desire to weaken Russia, with devastating consequences for Germany and Western Europe’s energy security and competitiveness.