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Reading https://0xkyle.substack.com/p/0xkyles-market-color-32
TLDR 
The article discusses the current state of the cryptocurrency market, with a focus on the upcoming FOMC meeting and the potential impact on Bitcoin and altcoins.
Key Points 
- The author remains bullish on the market, despite the recent bearish sentiment.
- Banks around the world have been announcing rate cuts, leading to speculation that the Fed will also cut rates.
- The author suggests two potential trading strategies: taking a position pre-FOMC or post-FOMC.
- The author’s favorite coins are ONDO, TON, and PEOPLE, and he advises allocating into fundamental tokens with a strong thesis.
- The author believes the worst is behind us and expects the market to go through three phases: slow grind up, consolidation, and higher.
In-depth Summary 
The article starts by noting that the author didn’t post last week due to the time-consuming ETH ETF trade and a relatively boring market. However, this week has been eventful, with the author experiencing three “hotpots” in a row.
The author discusses the current market sentiment, noting that it is similar to the sentiment seen when Bitcoin climbed from $49,000 to $69,000. Despite the bullish signals, people remain bearish. The author suggests that we might see a repeat of the scenario from the last FOMC meeting, where people started pricing in a bearish Fed, but then Powell came out and said “all is fine,” leading to a bullish market reaction.
The author points out that the recent rate cuts by the European Central Bank and the Bank of Canada have led to speculation that the Fed will also cut rates. While the author is no macro guru, he believes that this could lead to an overly bearish sentiment, which could be an opportunity for the market to surprise on the upside.
The author remains bullish on the market and believes that this cycle has been dominated by longer time-horizon views on major cryptocurrencies, with high rates of profit-taking on altcoins. He suggests that the only thing one should be holding is Bitcoin, but that doesn’t mean there’s no room for outperformance in the altcoin market. The author emphasizes the importance of religiously taking profits, something he is trying to work on.
The author then outlines two potential trading strategies for the upcoming FOMC meeting: taking a position pre-FOMC (most risk, most reward) or post-FOMC (least risk, least reward). He expects most people to go with the post-FOMC option, and discusses the three possible outcomes: rates cut (probably bullish), rates unchanged (potentially bullish), and rates hiked (probably bearish).
The article then delves into the current market narratives, noting that they have quietened down since two weeks ago, with many meme coins and AI coins off their highs by 10-20%. The author suggests that this may be an attractive area to pick up favorite altcoins, and he shares his personal favorites: ONDO, TON, and PEOPLE.
The author also discusses the on-chain activity, highlighting some interesting developments, such as the recent pumps in celebrity memecoins on Solana, the mini pump in RUNES on Bitcoin, and the strong performance of PURR, the main coin of Hyperliquid.
In conclusion, the author reiterates his belief that the worst is behind us and expects the market to go through three phases: slow grind up, consolidation, and higher. He remains cautiously optimistic and advises readers to stay safe, healthy, and happy.
ELI5 
The article is about the current state of the cryptocurrency market. The author thinks the market is doing well, even though some people are still feeling a bit bearish. He thinks the upcoming FOMC meeting (where the Fed decides on interest rates) could be a big deal, and he has some ideas on how to trade it. He also talks about some of his favorite coins and what’s been happening in the on-chain world. Overall, the author is feeling pretty positive about the market and thinks the worst is behind us.
Writer’s Main Point 
The writer’s main point is that despite the current bearish sentiment, the cryptocurrency market is in a good position, and the upcoming FOMC meeting could be an opportunity for the market to surprise on the upside. The author remains bullish and believes the market will go through a period of slow grind up, consolidation, and then higher prices.
